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Tuesday, April 20, 2021

North Dakota and North Carolina could determine control of the Senate

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In the wake of President Trump’s low job approval ratings and debate over Russia, the GOP is fighting for its political life in three states. The question on Tuesday is whether it’s possible to hold on, as is looking increasingly likely.

In Florida, which hasn’t elected a Democratic senator since 2000, early voting turnout has been slow but steady. The state’s National Voter Registration Act deadline is Sunday and military voters will be allowed to register at places and times set by their employer.

In Nevada, the race between Republican Sen. Dean Heller and his Democratic challenger Rep. Jacky Rosen is tightening. A Star Tribune/Deseret News poll released Oct. 14 put Rosen in the lead by 2 points.

President Trump visited Nevada on Oct. 14 to rally in Reno for Republican Rep. Joe Heck. “I believe Senator Heller will be the next senator from Nevada,” Mr. Trump said, adding that Rep. Heck had been “willing to work with you.”

In North Dakota, Democrat Heidi Heitkamp is the only senator up for re-election in a state where President Trump won by 18 points. A re-elected Heitkamp would help make her case that Democrats have lost hope of winning the Senate majority, Republicans said.

An Obama campaign field director resigned over the weekend to join a gun control super PAC that was running advertising in North Dakota. In response, Heitkamp stood by her support for Second Amendment rights. “I don’t believe that we should be taking away the constitutional rights of law-abiding citizens,” she said.

At the center of the GOP’s worries is the clearest sign yet that Donald Trump’s presidency is making a difference. Colorado has received more than 634,000 new voters. An influx of young and first-time voters is causing some to worry about an active election cycle without President Trump at the helm.

President Trump won Colorado in 2016, but the state’s demographics have changed: According to the National Journal, most of those new voters in the past year lived in suburban communities, a demographic that overwhelmingly supported Hillary Clinton in 2016. When The Washington Post analyzed early voter turnout in Colorado last week, it found a 45-point gap between the statewide voter turnout in 2016 and 2018, which falls within the margin of error.

Source: The Colorado Independent

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